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Daily Coffee Report - 04/24/2024

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Coffee Ends Firm

 

Arabica coffee futures settled firm Wednesday supported by the strong Robusta market that posted a new historical high.  The active July contract closed 405 points or 1.8 % higher at 225.90 cents a pound.  Volume was moderate reaching 40,401 lots including 8,724 switches. The active July – September switch remains firm adding 10 points as the forward curve get back to backwardation. The constructive technical outlook of the “C” contributed with the positive sentiment as good support below the 220 encouraged speculative buying. A possible double bottom pattern on the charts could suggest a recovery to the recent highs. According with local sources in Brazil, the volume of the new Robusta crop for Espiritu Santo and Rondônia, is smaller and quality lower than the normal for the beginning of the harvest. A report by Reuters mentioned that due to extremely high temperatures yields of Robusta are lower than expected and beans smaller than usual. The dollar firmed ahead of the US GDP data. The real of Brazil lost 0.8% and the Colombian peso 1.0%. Cert stocks added 5,142 bags to 652,672 bags. Pending grading down 1,930 bags to 55,934 bags.  A total of 10,080 bags graded today. Passed 5,390 (2,560 BR; 2,280 NI; 550 PE.  Failed 4,690 (1,920 BR; 570 NI; 2,200 PE).

The Robusta terminal ends the session over 6% higher, July24 contract settled at $4266 +149, as last minute May24 fixations drive heavy gains in front of FND. This occurs amid an unchanged backdrop with origin pressure nearly completely absent whilst technically the market remains very dynamic, driving further narrowing in the arbitrage (July/July24 32.5 cents).  Working exposure in May24 stood overnight at 2,211 lots with 1,880 lots trading today, which should effectively draw to a close the May24 contract before we enter FND tomorrow with not material change in certified stock ownership.  

At the time of writing

USDBRL 5.1504 +0.46%

USDCOP 3938.9 +1.02%

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ICE Arabica

Volume:

40,401

 

ICE Robusta

Volume:

23,784

 

Brazil Arabica

Volume:

886

Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage

Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage

Arabica Switches

Robusta Switches

Related tags: Coffee

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